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Updates from August, 2007 Toggle Comment Threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Matt 7:19 pm on August 24, 2007 Permalink  

    Take nothing for granted 

    Fantasy football would be a lot easier if things were a little more predictable in the NFL. We’d be tearing a little less of the hair out of our heads on a weekly basis if it weren’t for the marquee stars who quietly and inexplicably fade into oblivion, the no-name backups who suddenly outperform the starter and eat into his playing time, and the rookies who come out of nowhere and bestow championships upon the fantasy player savvy/lucky enough to nab them off the waiver wire. As a result, we have a natural, perhaps wishful tendency to think and act as if there are some inexorable truths in football, especially during the draft. But, as the saying goes, when you assume… (More …)

    • jobez 7:50 pm on August 25, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      so what you’re saying is that i should probably drop vick from my team?

    • Matt 3:51 pm on August 26, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Well, if it’s a keeper league he might have some value in 2010 or so…

  • Brandon 4:13 pm on August 24, 2007 Permalink  

    Draft Analysis: Phi Tau Keeper League 

    Recently we held the second annual draft for the Phi Tau Keeper League, using the rules explained here. As this was the second year of the league, this was the first official “keeper” draft, where managers could decide which players they wanted to keep from the previous years roster, which definitely made the draft a bit interesting. The most obvious change this was going to make was looking at the keepers and realizing that top round picks such as Joseph Addai, Cedric Benson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Laurence Maroney, Deuce McAllister, Carson Palmer, Travis Henry, Marques Colston and Brandon Jacobs were already taken. Just the fact that so many running backs were being held as keepers was troubling to teams who didn’t already have a starting RB being kept (luckily I wasn’t one of them). Anyways, without wasting any more time, let’s get to the draft analysis… (More …)

    • Matt 6:25 pm on August 24, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      I knew I was screwed when I drew the 12th pick and saw all the RBs being kept. Ronnie Brown was my only option in the first round, and there was a big dropoff in talent after him. I’m not usually one to advocate grabbing Peyton early, but I really didn’t have a better choice.

      I’m going to have to make some smart FA pickups to be competitive this season. I do think I’m going to be set up nicely for 2008 – I can see a scenario where I keep Colston in the 10th, Turner in the 9th (assuming he gets traded somewhere to be a starter), and Calvin Johnson in the 4th… that’d be pretty solid. Kevin Jones, Devin Hester, and Jason Campbell all might turn out to be keeper options as well.

    • Shaw 9:52 am on August 25, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Lamont Jordan will be the sleeper pick of the year. In this league a starting RB with strong potential in the 6th round is awesome, if he busts I only passed up on aging Joe Horn (with Harrington as his QB), Devery Henderson (who I think is going to miss some games and may lose his job by year end to a rookie), and Vincent Jackson (the only one I was actually condsidering at that spot). The day after the draft this was posted on ESPN… http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=32qoak

      Also, I found it interesting you didn’t point out good keepers in your analysis. Michael Bush may not have any value this year but he is a rookie RB who could take over the spot if my prediction on Lamont is wrong and Rhodes can’t carry load. In any case Oakland should be improving and with Lamont and M. Bush I have a good chance at having another starting RB keeper next year. I think this was true of several picks you classified as worthless on other roosters

      Final note: I have no issues with my WRs, I have two solid WRs (especially in PPR leagues) and Santanio Holmes has huge potential plus if he busts you can alwasy find a decent 3rd WR on the waivers. I would not have the same confidence in finding a 2cd or 3rd RB which is why by week 4 one of my “crappy”, “wasted picks” on Lamont or Deshuan will provide me an upgrade at one position on my rooster.

  • Brandon 9:40 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink  

    2007 Sophomore Slumps and Studs 

    A lot is said about a so called “sophomore slump” for NFL players, especially those in the skill positions. While this may be true for players like Carnell “Cadillac” Williams, Michael Clayton (coincidence they’re both on Tampa Bay, a crappy team?) and Anquan Boldin, there are still some players who made a huge impact in the second season, even after having a good rookie campaign. Examples of this are Antonio Gates, LaDainian Tomlinson (coincidence they’re both on San Diego, a good team?) and Clinton Portis. After a going through a few drafts, I felt the urge to point out a few second year players that you shouldn’t worry about the “sophomore slump” affecting, while pointing out a few that probably will…

    (More …)

    • Matt 10:03 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Ugh, please don’t ever refer to Yahoo! Answers again… if you ever want evidence that the human species is utterly doomed, just hang out there for an hour.

      Look, Brees is a great QB on a stellar offense, and he’s got to throw the ball to someone besides Bush. Colston might be a tad overrated, but he’s still the #1 WR option in New Orleans without question, and you have to remember that opposing defenses are going to be driven absolutely bonkers by the two-headed combo of Bush and Deuce. They’re going to be spending all their time trying to crack that nut, and meanwhile Brees will be floating passes to his 6’5″ receiver in single coverage just like he did all last season.

    • Brandon 10:28 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Hah, sometimes there’s some valuable insight on Yahoo! Answers. I’m sure I’ve seen Brandon Funston answering a fantasy query or two on there…maybe. Anyhow, I mention that Colston will still have a good year and maybe you won’t be calling it a “slump” at the end of the year, but I just predict that he won’t have a better year and will probably come back down to earth slightly (I mean seriously, he was nearly “almost Mr. Irrelevant” in last year’s draft). Plus he’s slightly injured at this point, so it could affect his first game or two.

  • Matt 8:19 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink  

    Donald Driver sprains something 

    Looks like Driver will have to put it in park for a while. This probably qualifies as the most fantasy-significant injury of the preseason to this point. I thought Driver was overvalued anyway (he’s 32 and it’s hard to say what Brett Favre will bring to the table this season), so hopefully this will make fantasy owners come to their senses. Even if he can overcome this and start week 1, he’s still 32, and he’s still on the Packers.

    • Brandon 8:33 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      I think it’s a bit to early to say “I told you so” with Driver, as we don’t know the extent of the injury and I didn’t expect him to get hurt, just have a decline in production this year. But….”I told you so!” See my Fantasy Busts article if you don’t believe me.

    • Brandon 8:35 am on August 24, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      In other news….GO GO Greg Jennings!

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