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Updates from November, 2009 Toggle Comment Threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Brandon 5:46 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink  

    Remember to vote on the FFGeekBlog.com commenting system if you haven't done so… 

    Remember to vote on the FFGeekBlog.com commenting system if you haven’t done so yet. Who knows if we’ll end up changing anything, but we just want to see how our readers feel about it!

     
  • Brandon 4:58 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink  

    Just read a funny post on Deadspin.com about fantasy football for the elderly. While their rules are a bit simpler than what we’re used to, I guess I have to support anything that gets more people involved with fantasy football!

     
    • Squish 7:40 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      I hope they have fantasy leagues in my retirement home if I end up in one! Just another sign that FF is continuing to grow at a ridiculous pace.

      Hope you guys all did well this week! About the only good week I had was in on my rapiddraft team. I just clinched my league and “beat the pros” this week (RD regular season ends 11th week, playoffs are 12th-16th). Moved up to 17th in the overall rankings. I just wish Rice would have been used more so I could have jumped higher! The good news is that this was an off week for me and I still moved up thanks entirely to Randy Moss and Chris Johnson (no thanks to Colston, Benson, Wallace, Clark or Cassel who I was forced to start with Schaub on bye). I don’t like to toot my own horn normally but with all the injuries this week to big time RBs, I like my chances at this thing!

      QB – Schaub(6th)/Cassel(22nd)
      RB – Chris Johnson(1st)/Rice(3rd)/Benson(13th)/Fargas/Buckhalter/Cadillac
      WR – Moss(2nd)/Colston(14th)/Wallace(34th)/Henderson(38th)/Knox(39th)/Coles
      TE – Clark(1st)/Shiancoe(13th)
      K – Gostkowski(3rd)
      DEF – PIT/GB/ARI

      The format is 1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1Flex with PPR. So basically I have guys top 6 in there position starting at 6/9 offensive roster slots and 8/9 of my weekly starters are ranked in the top 20 at their position. My only weakness is at WR3 but I think I’ll survive if Wallace is my only weakness in a 12 team league with a 20 round draft 😉

      The problem is a lot of the other teams on top of the leaderboard have very similar teams and I can’t expect to gain much more ground. This is why I spent the last 3 weeks strategically picking up defenses to ensure the best possible matchups down the stretch. The schedule of my starter each week looks like this:
      Week 11 – PIT at home against KC or GB @ SF or ARI @ STL (all pretty juicy)
      Week 12 – GB @ DET
      Week 13 – PIT at home against OAK
      Week 14 – PIT @ CLE or GB @ Chicago or Arizona @ SF (all pretty juicy)
      Week 15 – Arizona @ Detroit
      Week 16 – Arizona at home against STL

      In other news, my Yahoo big money league has seen my team drop 3 games in a row. The good news is that I was in first before. The bad news is I’m barely hanging onto the playoff picture at 4th right now. I’m desperately weak at WR with only Welker/Knox/Caldwell/Cotchery/Nicks. Keep in mind it is a return yardage and PPR league but still it’s weak. Luckily i made a move for Celek early and I got some dumbass to trade Harvin (13th best scoring WR) for Witten who I’d benched all season. That move paired with Cotchery’s apparent return to relevance could turn the whole season around. With MJD and Rice at RB and Schaub/McNabb at QB, I’m pretty optimistic about the rest of the year!

      Be it known that if I can win a substantial pot this year(especially the top few prizes in RD), you guys will likely see some of it coming your way! Thanks again for all the help!

  • Matt 2:38 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink
    Tags:   

    Matt Forte Owners: Time to Sell 

    If there was ever a time for Matt Forte owners to try and dump him on the highest bidder, this is it. He’s had three straight respectable fantasy outings thanks largely to Jay Cutler’s difficulty throwing the ball to anyone else, but his YPC remains low at 3.4 and he simply looks nothing like the emergent superstar we were introduced to last season. Daily Herald columnist Barry Rozner thinks the blame falls at least as much on Forte himself as on the struggling offensive line.

    The real reason to sell him ASAP, though, is the Bears’ upcoming schedule:

    Week Date Opponent
    11 Nov 22 PHI
    12 Nov 29 @ MIN
    13 Dec 6 STL
    14 Dec 13 GNB
    15 Dec 20 @ BAL
    16 Dec 28 MIN
    17 Jan 3 @ DET

    5th-ranked rushing defense Minnesota twice – including week 16, championship week in most leagues – 4th-ranked Green Bay, 9th-ranked Philly, 6th-ranked Baltimore… yikes. The 28th-ranked Rams are the only reprieve.

    Get rid of him now while it still looks (to an ill-informed manager) like Forte has finally hit his stride. It won’t last long.

     
    • Amir 5:58 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      what type of player should i be looking to get for Forte?

      • Matt 9:36 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        It really depends on your positional needs and the depth of knowledge the other managers in your league have. Just remember that in the eyes of some managers, Forte probably looks pretty tempting right now – he’s a first-round draft pick who, judging by fantasy points alone, is finally starting to produce. One thing you might do is take a look at FFToolbox’s strength of schedule chart and target other RBs with similar perceived value that have favorable schedules the rest of the way. What the perceived value is will be up to a judgment call on your part – what do you think the other manager thinks Forte is worth?

      • Ken 12:55 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        Yea it depends on what you feel you need for your team. If you just want a more productive back, I’d do exactly what Matt said.

        If your RB situation looks good for the rest of the way out, then I’d start assessing what area’s you could use work with. Then go through each of the teams in your league and look for the ones who have the best options for those that look like theyd be in the market for a RB.

        Chances are, unless you’re in a soft league with a lot of people that don’t pay attention, Forte’s not going to have a huge value, so anyone with a solid back set isn’t going to be too interested. (then again, if you see a player you really want, it’s always worth a shot) So you’re looking for a team thats going to need to take a chance on a RB like forte.

        This weeks injuries might also prove fruitful for your trade prospects. If Turner’s injury forces him to miss time, you might be able to get someone of value off a turner owner for Forte. Anyone who had Julius Jones as their RB1 or RB2 would be an even bigger candidate as they’d already be hurting in the RB situation and would probably jump at a chance at Forte, if they weren’t able to lock up forsett.

        Actually in the J.Jones situation, if Forsett is still available as a FA, I’d pick him up. This would eliminate the J.Jones owner from filling his need, creating a greater need for him to trade with you. Then you can either keep Forsett and trade Forte on his own…or package Forte and Forsett together for someone big on his team.

    • e-roc 8:55 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      Would you guys drop Kevin Smith for Beanie Wells? I’m at the bottom of the waiver-wire, so I’m not holding out much hope.

      • Matt 9:38 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        Smith’s upcoming schedule is brutal so he’s not likely to contribute much from here on out. I’d do it.

        • e-roc 10:25 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

          Thanks. That confirms what I was thinking. I have Shonn Greene as my back-up plan if I miss out on Beanie.

        • Mal 4:10 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

          Smith does have the browns this week???

      • ken 1:51 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        I think if you can’t get Beanie, stick with Smith. Smith may have some horirble matchups coming up, but at least he’ll get consistent work.

        Greene’s only been getting a third of the carries as TJ. And even in a choice matchup like the Jags, he still produced nothing. If he had scored the TD, he would have produced the equivelant of a bad day for Kevin Smith. But he didn’t, and then they put TJ in at the goal line the next play, which isn’t a good sign for Greene.

        I like J. Forsett better then Green right now. He’ll be the sole back until J.Jones comes back, and even when Jones comes back, he may still keep the starting job as Jones hasn’t been great. His older brother TJ has been productive, isn’t injured and gets most of the carriers over Greene. If Forsett’s available, Id drop Greene for him.

    • Mal 3:30 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      PLEASE HELP – RUNNING BACK DILEMMA

      Current setup

      Turner (injured?)
      Betts (Portis may be back?)
      Jacobs (shares carries)
      Portis (If comes back will surely split with Betts)

      Waiver options

      Wells
      Forsett
      Snelling

      N.B. Someone has been interested in a Forte-Jacobs trade

      Thanks in advance!!!!! I should just give you my login Squish!

      • Squish 1:13 am on November 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        LOL! I think you are okay as is. Well not okay, but you can’t really improve. Wells is looking really juicy down the stretch but the only guy you could really drop for him would be Betts. Turner should be back in 2-4 weeks and he has a great playoff schedule so you need to hang onto him. Obviously you can’t drop Jacobs. Avoid the Forte trade as he’s dead in the water at this point.

        When do your waivers clear? If you wait a couple days you may hear some news that helps your decision. I’m have a hunch that the Redskins are going to announce Portis will be out for the rest of the season. Either way though like you said Washington will be a RBBC the rest of the year. Also note that Betts is actually playing injured right now. His coach announced he was only 75% for the last game and also stated that it’s a 3RB committee without Portis there.

        All in all, the only move you can really make at this point is Betts for Wells. I’d consider making that move but depending on your waiver time watch for updates there then make a decision. Honestly if you could afford to, I’d advise you to drop Portis and Betts but obviously thats not an option. Consider dropping Betts for Wells but no more. I don’t think you have too much to lose by letting him go.

    • B Cole 10:49 am on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      It’d be much easier to trade Forte if everyone and their mother wasn’t screaming about how I need to get rid of him. Sigh.

      What do you think of this though: package Forte and the Saints DST for a top running back and a good defense? I know New Orleans’ schedule is comically easy down the stretch, but most of their value comes from their eight defensive touchdowns, and there’s no way that can keep up, right?

      The trading deadline in the league where I can do this is today, but I thought maybe it could help some other kindred soul.

      • Squish 5:29 am on November 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        Sorry I was late on this one. I don’t think you would have gotten a trade accepted anyway. There are just too many good defenses still on waivers from week to week and nobody seems to value them right now. Don’t give up on Forte yet, he’s only half in the grave. He’s still a good receiver out of the backfield so it really doesn’t hurt him too much to have a rough schedule on the ground. Don’t sweat it!

    • matt 12:36 pm on November 17, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      I am in a three man keeper league and am currently looking to retain ray rice, matt forte and reggie wayne as my keepers. I have been offered ryan grant and calvin johnson for matt forte.

      Who has the better keeper value heading into next year forte or megatron? Im assuming the top rbs available in the redraft will be along the lines of kevin smith, joe addai, etc. would this hurt my team to not keep two solid rbs and keep calvin and wayne instead?

      • Squish 5:54 am on November 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        I don’t believe Megatron has as much value as Forte in a keeper league. WRs are just two unpredictable after the top guys are off the board. How big is your keeper league? Just to give you an idea of what was left in a keeper league, I’ll use my 10 team keeper league which has basically 7 keepers per team. You’d be surprised at what’s left after the keeper’s are selected. The first picks at RB and WR after the keepers were gone went like this:

        Westbrook
        Deangelo Williams (I got lucky having this pick!)
        Marion Barber
        Pierre Thomas
        Brandon Marshall
        Kevin Smith
        Antonio Bryant
        Thomas Jones
        Housh
        Roy Williams
        Ronnie Brown
        Hines Ward
        Ocho
        VJax – Me again 🙂

        And this was in a league with 7 keepers per team (19 starting slots)! I figure that if you have 3 keepers per team for 12 teams, the RBs you can expect to get in the first few rounds will look like this:

        – T. Jones, Hightower, Grant, Slaton, K. Smith, R. Bush, Pierre Thomas etc. Not too shabby!

        At WR, you’re likely to get guys like this early on:

        – MSW, Housh, Hester, Holmes, Burleson, Breaston, Mason, S. Smith (CAR), etc.

        Overall, I think you’re better off keeping Forte. WRs are inconsistent every year and normally unless you use a keeper on one of the top 5, you can’t expect the world. Keep in mind how many top scoring WRs every year are guys that typically went late or were undrafted (MSW, S. Smith NYG, Austin, Rice, Manningham, Collie, Maclin) On the other hand, if you keep Forte you’ll at least know you have a solid starter the whole year. Even if he has a bad year again, he’ll still be more useful than say TO, Megatron, Bryant, Santana Moss, Eddie Royal and Braylon Edwards, all of whom were kept in my league. My personal rule is: “When in doubt in a keeper league, always keep the RB!” Hope that helps!

  • Brandon 9:48 am on November 16, 2009 Permalink
    Tags: , , , , connor barth, , , , ,   

    Team of the Week – Week 10: Fourth and 2… 

    Here is the fantasy football “Team of the Week” for week ten, listing the players that scored the most points (using standard scoring) over the course of Sunday’s games. This is a sad day for Patriots fans, having to witness yet another come from behind victory by Peyton Manning and the Colts, capped off by an “interesting” call on fourth down at the end of the game! Anyways, today’s list had very little surprises (except the kicker) and is basically a “who’s who” list of fantasy football superstars…

    Pos.

    Player

    Stats

    QB Tom Brady (NE) 375 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
    RB Chris Johnson (TEN) 132 rushing yards, 100 receiving yards, 2 TD
    RB Adrian Peterson (MIN) 133 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 2 TD
    WR Randy Moss (NE) 179 receiving yards, 2 TD
    WR Brandon Marshall (DEN) 134 receiving yards, 9 rushing yards, 2 TD
    WR Reggie Wayne (IND) 126 receiving yards, 2 TD
    TE Brent Celek (PHI) 47 receiving yards, 1 TD
    K Connor Barth (TB) Kicks – 20-29 (0), 30-39 (0), 40-49 (0), 50+ (3), PAT (2) – Who? He made three 50+ yard field goals?
    DEF Tennessee 17 points allowed, 2 sack, 2 interceptions, 2 TD
     
    • e-roc 2:17 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      If Philly’s Red Zone offense wasn’t so terrible, D-Mac would have been the top scoring QB… 450 yards passing!!

      • Brandon 2:20 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        Yeah, that was a bit surprising actually. The San Diego pass defense was supposed to be pretty good…but at least they kept McNabb out of the endzone for the most part.

        • e-roc 5:15 pm on November 16, 2009 Permalink | Reply

          ….to think, I almost traded McNabb, MJD and TJ Housh for Brees, Ronnie Brown and Crab-Apple….

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