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Updates from August, 2011 Toggle Comment Threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Brandon 7:22 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink
    Tags:   

    All-Value Team and my master drafting plan 

    Just a precursor to this post, over the past few months I’ve been trying to dream up the perfect fantasy football team that anyone (barring a crazy drafting move by another team manager) could draft. My strategy was somewhere along the lines of you ignoring the players that were available and just drafting a team that you predetermined. Or maybe you follow a draft strategy based on the average draft position of your predetermined team, then if you see a player at a position that you are drafting that is better than the guy on your team, you take him instead. Either way, you go into the draft with a certain draft-able team in mind. Make sense? Probably not, but oh well. I’ll perfect the plan at some point! 🙂

    Anyways, here’s a team of players I’ve noticed that seem to have pretty good value at this point…and also a team that could very realistically be drafted by anyone. What’s everyone think? Maybe you want to come up with your own team.

    QB: Matt Ryan (ADP: 63)
    RB: Darren McFadden (ADP: 13)
    RB: Felix Jones (ADP: 35)
    WR: Wes Welker (ADP: 42)
    WR: Mario Manningham (ADP: 59)
    WR: Lance Moore (ADP: 112)
    TE: Owen Daniels (ADP: 73)Bench: Jacoby Ford (ADP: 108)
    Bench: Joe Flacco (ADP: 115)
    Bench: Mario Barber (ADP: 142)
    Bench: Aaron Hernandez (ADP: 146)
    Bench: Brandon Gibson (ADP: late)

    Draft order:
    1. Darren McFadden
    2. Felix Jones
    3. Wes Welker
    4. Mario Manningham
    5. Matt Ryan
    6. Owen Daniels
    7. Joe Flacco
    8. Jacoby Ford
    9. Lance Moore
    10. Marion Barber
    11. Aaron Hernandez
    12. Brandon Gibson

    Note: ADP values taken from Fantasy Football Calculator.

     
    • AJ 2:53 am on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I have actually been doing the same thing. I have been doing it from a different draft spot everyday, having started at #1 and eventually ending at 14, then I open up a tab and open, http://subscribers.footballguys.com/rate-my-team/form.php. Follow the directions, I use this team rating tool to see how my method holds up. I click back and forth between the mock draft and the team rater inserting player names as I draft them. Now, since I won’t know where I’m drafting from until 1hr before my league draft, I will save the mock results and the rate my team results so that on draft day I have some something specific to the spot I’m picking from. Definitely check out the (rate my team) feature at that other site, it’s pretty cool.

      • Brandon 2:06 pm on August 29, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        That team rating tool is pretty cool actually. I’ll have to put up a post about it. Thanks for the heads up!

    • The Don 10:12 pm on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      who would you take brandon gibson vs sidney rice for the last draft spot?

    • Kendall 12:22 am on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Hey Brandon, I have a quick question for you. I have Ray Rice and am currently being offered Tom Brady and Deangelo Williams for him. If I make the trade, I will have Brady, Adrian Peterson, Deangelo Williams. Without the trade I will have Matt Schaub, Adrian Peterson, and Ray Rice. What sounds like the better play to you?

      • Brandon 2:05 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        It’s too risky. I think Tom Brady will be awesome this year, but the potential drop off from Rice (potentially one of the top RBs in the league this year) to DeAngelo Williams (potentially a huge bust) is too much to overcome by upgrading from Schaub to Brady. Stick with Peterson and Rice and have fun knowing you have the best RB duo in the league.

        • Kendall 5:19 pm on August 31, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          I went ahead and made the trade. Gave up Eagles D and Rice for Brady and DeAngelo. I have Petersen, Felix Jones, and Jahvid Best. Also I think I will be able to trade Schaub for Baltimore D. Risky move but its boring if you don’t trade!

    • jmac 3:14 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Thoughts on my team?? I had a mid round pick in a standard 12 team.

      Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT @ BAL 11 – Starter 0
      Felix Jones RB DAL @ NYJ 5 – Starter 0
      Jamaal Charles RB KAN vs BUF 6 – Starter 0
      Roddy White WR ATL @ CHI 8 – Starter 0
      Vincent Jackson WR SDG vs MIN 6 – Starter 0
      Jimmy Graham TE NOR @ GNB 11 – Starter 0
      Neil Rackers K HOU vs IND 11 – Starter 0
      New England Patriots Def/ST NWE @ MIA 7 – Starter 0
      Kevin Kolb QB ARI vs CAR 6 – Reserve 0
      Brandon Jacobs RB NYG @ WAS 7 – Reserve 0
      Tim Hightower RB WAS vs NYG 5 – Reserve 0
      Santonio Holmes WR NYJ vs DAL 8 – Reserve 0
      Greg Little WR CLE vs CIN 5 – Reserve 0
      Aaron Hernandez

      • Brandon 7:10 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Solid team! Nice depth at every position and especially like the upside of Felix Jones, Vincent Jackson and Aaron Hernandez. Something tells me the playoffs are in your future. Check out the FootballGuys.com team rater and see if they concur 🙂

        http://ffgeekblog.com/2011/08/rate-your-team-with-footballguys-com/

        • jmac 1:37 pm on September 1, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          IYO..should i pick up N. burleson, m. floyd or j. ford and drop g. little?? i thought about burleson and took the rookie little. or is it too early to tell??

  • Matt 1:21 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink
    Tags: , ppr   

    In a PPR league? Make sure you use a PPR cheat sheet. 

    If you’re not the type to build your own custom cheat sheet before the draft, you’ll probably end up downloading a cheat sheet from some website and using that to guide your selections. There’s certainly nothing wrong with that as long as you keep your league’s rules in mind. One of the most common mistakes people make is using a cheat sheet that’s tailored to the wrong scoring rules, and all too often the scoring rule that messes people up is PPR (points per reception), which generally means that players earn 0.5 or 1 points for each reception on top of the points they earn for yardage.

    PPR scoring changes the way you need to draft in two ways: First, wide receivers and tight ends are obviously more valuable, especially possession receivers who catch a lot of short-yardage passes. If you’re in a PPR league where you can start three or more WRs (including flex), you’re going to be at a major disadvantage all season long if you don’t focus on the WR position early in the draft. Second, running backs who catch a lot of passes have much more value than they would otherwise. PPR can turn a nice game for a RB into a monster performance. In a loss last year against the Redskins, LeSean McCoy had a decent fantasy day in non-PPR leagues: 174 combined yards, no touchdowns, one fumble lost. His owners in PPR leagues were much happier with him that week – thanks to his 12 receptions. McCoy led all running backs in receptions last year, which in leagues that awarded one point per reception was enough to make him the second-best fantasy RB (assuming reasonably normal scoring rules otherwise), whereas in most non-PPR leagues he was just barely in the top ten.

    The odds are good that at least a couple of the managers in your PPR league won’t take the scoring rules into account when they draft. If you’re lucky, a top PPR option like Roddy White might slip into the second round, where he’d be an enormous bargain in this format.

    PPR isn’t the only setting to consider on draft day. Don’t forget to take a close look at your league’s scoring and positions. If your league is heavily customized with yardage bonuses, extra flex positions and so on, don’t forget to take that into account. For example, if your league awards six points per passing touchdown rather than four, it’s absolutely essential to grab an elite QB (in my book that means Vick, Rodgers, Brady, Brees, or Rivers. Manning’s health is a major concern, and I just plain don’t trust Romo this year.)

    Here are a few of the best and most up-to-date PPR cheat sheets from around the Web:

     
    • e-roc 2:08 am on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I’m using KFFL’s cheat sheet… it’s nice, but I don’t know if I love their projections… I wish you could customize the projections from other sites in addition to the custom scoring.

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