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Updates from August, 2011 Toggle Comment Threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Brandon 3:03 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink
    Tags: football guys, team rating, tools   

    Rate your team with FootballGuys.com 

    Recently a commenter named AJ alerted me to an awesome fantasy football team rating tool on FootballGuys.com (I just added it to our Tools page too), so I had to scope it out and see how my recently drafted teams stacked up. The tool allows you to enter your team, including bench players, along with the league scoring settings. You then enter your e-mail address and they send you a report on your team that includes an overview of your team, a summary of each position, an analysis of the schedule of each of your players (with good/bad starts highlighted per player), a list of potential free agents to consider, yearly projections for each player and the latest news for each player on the team.

    I highly recommend you enter your fantasy teams on the site and see what they have to say. I can’t promise that all the information used in the report is 100% most recent, but I assume it’s pretty good. If anything this is a great tool for entertainment value and to brag to your friends (if necessary.)

    By the way, if you were curious, my teams seem to have at least a 90% chance of making the playoffs, so that’s promising πŸ™‚

    • steve 4:34 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      12tm .5PPR- non keeper. 9th overall draft position. Start QB, RB, RB/WR, WR, WR. TE, K, DST– Schaub, CJ2K, Turner, Roddy, B Marshall, Lance Kendricks, Longwell, SD chargers– bench Stafford, Bradshaw, Ringer, Helu, amendola, lance moore, braylon, shaincoe.

      • Brandon 7:07 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Try plugging it into the FootballGuys.com team rater and see what they say πŸ™‚

    • Stefan 7:09 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      This is quite interesting!

      • Stefan 7:10 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        even though I failed in finding the idp setting, which could be a factor in one league I’m playing in.

        • Brandon 7:10 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          yeah in all my leagues we don’t use IDP, so I couldn’t tell you. It’s a lot of run though anyways

    • Yenool 6:42 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Man I don’t like that thing. Just did my 1st snake draft of the year. 10 team league and I went Megatron, Roddy White back to back then Shonn Greene and Steven Jackson. Regrettably I fell asleep on my QB strategy and ended up with Cassel (to be fair people started taking BU QBs before the likes of Tolbert and Julio Jones were off the board), so working for a trade there. But they only give me a 60% shot at the playoffs.

      • Brandon 8:40 am on August 31, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        At least you’re better than 50/50 to make the playoffs πŸ™‚ It’s all on team management throughout the year. You grab this year’s Peyton Hillis or Arian Foster and things could change dramatically. What other QBs are available still?

        • Yenool 2:28 pm on August 31, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          Fitzpatrick and then the bottom of the barrel – McNabb, Newton, Sanchez… I figured KC and Buff were playing each other week 1 and would be a decent matchup for either QB but went with Matt since he’s at home.

  • Brandon 7:22 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink

    All-Value Team and my master drafting plan 

    Just a precursor to this post, over the past few months I’ve been trying to dream up the perfect fantasy football team that anyone (barring a crazy drafting move by another team manager) could draft. My strategy was somewhere along the lines of you ignoring the players that were available and just drafting a team that you predetermined. Or maybe you follow a draft strategy based on the average draft position of your predetermined team, then if you see a player at a position that you are drafting that is better than the guy on your team, you take him instead. Either way, you go into the draft with a certain draft-able team in mind. Make sense? Probably not, but oh well. I’ll perfect the plan at some point! πŸ™‚

    Anyways, here’s a team of players I’ve noticed that seem to have pretty good value at this point…and also a team that could very realistically be drafted by anyone. What’s everyone think? Maybe you want to come up with your own team.

    QB: Matt Ryan (ADP: 63)
    RB: Darren McFadden (ADP: 13)
    RB: Felix Jones (ADP: 35)
    WR: Wes Welker (ADP: 42)
    WR: Mario Manningham (ADP: 59)
    WR: Lance Moore (ADP: 112)
    TE: Owen Daniels (ADP: 73)Bench: Jacoby Ford (ADP: 108)
    Bench: Joe Flacco (ADP: 115)
    Bench: Mario Barber (ADP: 142)
    Bench: Aaron Hernandez (ADP: 146)
    Bench: Brandon Gibson (ADP: late)

    Draft order:
    1. Darren McFadden
    2. Felix Jones
    3. Wes Welker
    4. Mario Manningham
    5. Matt Ryan
    6. Owen Daniels
    7. Joe Flacco
    8. Jacoby Ford
    9. Lance Moore
    10. Marion Barber
    11. Aaron Hernandez
    12. Brandon Gibson

    Note: ADP values taken from Fantasy Football Calculator.

    • AJ 2:53 am on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I have actually been doing the same thing. I have been doing it from a different draft spot everyday, having started at #1 and eventually ending at 14, then I open up a tab and open, http://subscribers.footballguys.com/rate-my-team/form.php. Follow the directions, I use this team rating tool to see how my method holds up. I click back and forth between the mock draft and the team rater inserting player names as I draft them. Now, since I won’t know where I’m drafting from until 1hr before my league draft, I will save the mock results and the rate my team results so that on draft day I have some something specific to the spot I’m picking from. Definitely check out the (rate my team) feature at that other site, it’s pretty cool.

      • Brandon 2:06 pm on August 29, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        That team rating tool is pretty cool actually. I’ll have to put up a post about it. Thanks for the heads up!

    • The Don 10:12 pm on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      who would you take brandon gibson vs sidney rice for the last draft spot?

    • Kendall 12:22 am on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Hey Brandon, I have a quick question for you. I have Ray Rice and am currently being offered Tom Brady and Deangelo Williams for him. If I make the trade, I will have Brady, Adrian Peterson, Deangelo Williams. Without the trade I will have Matt Schaub, Adrian Peterson, and Ray Rice. What sounds like the better play to you?

      • Brandon 2:05 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        It’s too risky. I think Tom Brady will be awesome this year, but the potential drop off from Rice (potentially one of the top RBs in the league this year) to DeAngelo Williams (potentially a huge bust) is too much to overcome by upgrading from Schaub to Brady. Stick with Peterson and Rice and have fun knowing you have the best RB duo in the league.

        • Kendall 5:19 pm on August 31, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          I went ahead and made the trade. Gave up Eagles D and Rice for Brady and DeAngelo. I have Petersen, Felix Jones, and Jahvid Best. Also I think I will be able to trade Schaub for Baltimore D. Risky move but its boring if you don’t trade!

    • jmac 3:14 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Thoughts on my team?? I had a mid round pick in a standard 12 team.

      Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT @ BAL 11 – Starter 0
      Felix Jones RB DAL @ NYJ 5 – Starter 0
      Jamaal Charles RB KAN vs BUF 6 – Starter 0
      Roddy White WR ATL @ CHI 8 – Starter 0
      Vincent Jackson WR SDG vs MIN 6 – Starter 0
      Jimmy Graham TE NOR @ GNB 11 – Starter 0
      Neil Rackers K HOU vs IND 11 – Starter 0
      New England Patriots Def/ST NWE @ MIA 7 – Starter 0
      Kevin Kolb QB ARI vs CAR 6 – Reserve 0
      Brandon Jacobs RB NYG @ WAS 7 – Reserve 0
      Tim Hightower RB WAS vs NYG 5 – Reserve 0
      Santonio Holmes WR NYJ vs DAL 8 – Reserve 0
      Greg Little WR CLE vs CIN 5 – Reserve 0
      Aaron Hernandez

      • Brandon 7:10 pm on August 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Solid team! Nice depth at every position and especially like the upside of Felix Jones, Vincent Jackson and Aaron Hernandez. Something tells me the playoffs are in your future. Check out the FootballGuys.com team rater and see if they concur πŸ™‚


        • jmac 1:37 pm on September 1, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          IYO..should i pick up N. burleson, m. floyd or j. ford and drop g. little?? i thought about burleson and took the rookie little. or is it too early to tell??

  • Matt 1:21 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink
    Tags: , ppr   

    In a PPR league? Make sure you use a PPR cheat sheet. 

    If you’re not the type to build your own custom cheat sheet before the draft, you’ll probably end up downloading a cheat sheet from some website and using that to guide your selections. There’s certainly nothing wrong with that as long as you keep your league’s rules in mind. One of the most common mistakes people make is using a cheat sheet that’s tailored to the wrong scoring rules, and all too often the scoring rule that messes people up is PPR (points per reception), which generally means that players earn 0.5 or 1 points for each reception on top of the points they earn for yardage.

    PPR scoring changes the way you need to draft in two ways: First, wide receivers and tight ends are obviously more valuable, especially possession receivers who catch a lot of short-yardage passes. If you’re in a PPR league where you can start three or more WRs (including flex), you’re going to be at a major disadvantage all season long if you don’t focus on the WR position early in the draft. Second, running backs who catch a lot of passes have much more value than they would otherwise. PPR can turn a nice game for a RB into a monster performance. In a loss last year against the Redskins, LeSean McCoy had a decent fantasy day in non-PPR leagues: 174 combined yards, no touchdowns, one fumble lost. His owners in PPR leagues were much happier with him that week – thanks to his 12 receptions. McCoy led all running backs in receptions last year, which in leagues that awarded one point per reception was enough to make him the second-best fantasy RB (assuming reasonably normal scoring rules otherwise), whereas in most non-PPR leagues he was just barely in the top ten.

    The odds are good that at least a couple of the managers in your PPR league won’t take the scoring rules into account when they draft. If you’re lucky, a top PPR option like Roddy White might slip into the second round, where he’d be an enormous bargain in this format.

    PPR isn’t the only setting to consider on draft day. Don’t forget to take a close look at your league’s scoring and positions. If your league is heavily customized with yardage bonuses, extra flex positions and so on, don’t forget to take that into account. For example, if your league awards six points per passing touchdown rather than four, it’s absolutely essential to grab an elite QB (in my book that means Vick, Rodgers, Brady, Brees, or Rivers. Manning’s health is a major concern, and I just plain don’t trust Romo this year.)

    Here are a few of the best and most up-to-date PPR cheat sheets from around the Web:

    • e-roc 2:08 am on August 27, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I’m using KFFL’s cheat sheet… it’s nice, but I don’t know if I love their projections… I wish you could customize the projections from other sites in addition to the custom scoring.

  • Brandon 8:01 pm on August 23, 2011 Permalink
    Tags: , , ,   

    FFGeekBlog Keeper League draft results 

    Last night Matt and I took part in our annual keeper league draft and you can see the teams we ended up with below. So who made out the best? You can see the keepers with the small “k” next to them. The league is 0.5 PPR, in case that matters to you.

    Interestingly, Matt and I play each other in the first week of the season, so we should know the answer pretty soon!

    keeper league draft

    Who had the better draft?

    View Results

    Loading ... Loading ...
    • Javier 8:05 pm on August 23, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      12th round Michael Vick?

      • Javier 8:06 pm on August 23, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        oh nm, I didn’t notice the “K” next to him

        • Brandon 8:12 pm on August 23, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          yeah his 12th round pick looks pretty nice next to my 12th round pick πŸ™‚

          • Natalie 3:47 am on August 24, 2011 Permalink | Reply

            I think Josh Freeman may be the sleeper QB this year. You may get the better end of this Brandon!

            • Brandon 10:25 am on August 24, 2011 Permalink

              That’s what I was hoping, but that game against the Patriots scared me where they made him look like a rookie again. Maybe he’s still shaking off the rust?

            • Yenool 10:32 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink

              Freeman shouldn’t be a keeper though. You really didn’t have any other options? He’s a fringe top 12 QB this year in that system. You obviously have the adv in WR while Matt has the RB adv. So the scale tips in Matt’s favor based on QB.

    • Brandon 8:42 pm on August 24, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      19-13? It was all tied up earlier today! Was Matt’s draft really that much better than mine?!

    • Matt 1:22 pm on August 25, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      The thing I’m happiest about with this draft is that paying attention to the PPR factor netted me three really valuable RBs. Rice, Hillis and Forte ranked 3rd, 4th and 8th among all RBs in receptions last season.

      • Brandon 1:55 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Looks like the people have spoken…and they love your draft, ya bastard. Oh well, we’ll see what really happens come week 1! I like my team for PPR as well, with some solid WR and pass catching RB’s.

        • Matt 3:42 pm on August 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

          As well they should. When your starting lineup in a PPR league includes Vick, Ray Rice and Peyton Hillis, that’s reason to feel pretty good.

    • Brandon 1:35 pm on September 30, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Hmm, at this point in the year my team (43 votes) is 3-0 and Matt’s (64 votes) is 0-3.

  • Matt 3:35 pm on August 23, 2011 Permalink  

    Back up and running 

    Sorry all, the server was getting hammered (it’s just that time of year) and I had trouble bringing it back up after it crashed. Hopefully we’re on stable ground now.

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